Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.804907e-05 3.352939e-05 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062 0.000072
2025-05-18 2.200883e-05 2.914375e-05 0.000037 0.000048 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090
2025-05-25 1.595810e-05 2.337784e-05 0.000033 0.000044 0.000059 0.000077 0.000098
2025-06-01 1.211163e-05 1.953261e-05 0.000029 0.000043 0.000060 0.000081 0.000108
2025-06-08 9.797369e-06 1.725614e-05 0.000028 0.000042 0.000062 0.000086 0.000119
2025-06-15 7.893883e-06 1.519982e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000063 0.000091 0.000129
2025-06-22 6.097922e-06 1.296033e-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000094 0.000136
2025-06-29 4.554491e-06 1.080776e-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000062 0.000095 0.000141
2025-07-06 3.300612e-06 8.865597e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000060 0.000095 0.000144
2025-07-13 2.583976e-06 7.762021e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000061 0.000098 0.000151
2025-07-20 2.045248e-06 6.883219e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000061 0.000101 0.000159
2025-07-27 1.717707e-06 6.388982e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000106 0.000170
2025-08-03 1.506727e-06 6.265623e-06 0.000017 0.000037 0.000070 0.000119 0.000193
2025-08-10 1.186303e-06 5.740110e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000074 0.000129 0.000212
2025-08-17 6.944143e-07 4.418609e-06 0.000014 0.000035 0.000072 0.000129 0.000218
2025-08-24 4.130395e-07 3.526731e-06 0.000013 0.000034 0.000072 0.000132 0.000227
2025-08-31 2.685450e-07 3.020708e-06 0.000012 0.000033 0.000073 0.000138 0.000241
2025-09-07 1.615021e-07 2.538913e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000075 0.000143 0.000254
2025-09-14 7.811434e-08 1.997209e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000145 0.000262
2025-09-21 2.856549e-08 1.492541e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000146 0.000268
2025-09-28 6.556551e-09 1.066468e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000070 0.000145 0.000272
2025-10-05 1.340417e-09 8.450158e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000071 0.000149 0.000282
2025-10-12 1.064471e-10 6.785814e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000071 0.000153 0.000294